After the Board of Peace's formal launch and charter ratification in January 2026, followed by an inaugural summit in February that secured roughly two dozen founding members, momentum for new accessions has slowed markedly. Most major Western allies and several large Global South powers have either declined full membership or opted for observer status, with no verified new joiners reported since the initial wave. This pattern, combined with the absence of scheduled diplomatic deadlines or high-level announcements before June 30, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 70 percent probability assigned to no additional countries joining by that date. Structural factors such as differing national priorities on Gaza reconstruction and broader conflict resolution continue to shape participation decisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрисоединится ли какая-либо страна к Совету мира до 30 июня?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new country joins the Board of Peace between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new country joins the Board of Peace between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...After the Board of Peace's formal launch and charter ratification in January 2026, followed by an inaugural summit in February that secured roughly two dozen founding members, momentum for new accessions has slowed markedly. Most major Western allies and several large Global South powers have either declined full membership or opted for observer status, with no verified new joiners reported since the initial wave. This pattern, combined with the absence of scheduled diplomatic deadlines or high-level announcements before June 30, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 70 percent probability assigned to no additional countries joining by that date. Structural factors such as differing national priorities on Gaza reconstruction and broader conflict resolution continue to shape participation decisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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