President Donald Trump’s direct oversight of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including recent cancellations of planned strikes and claims of high-level approval for an initial memorandum, shapes trader focus on who will finalize any agreement. A tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and framework for nuclear talks, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and sanctions relief emerged in late May via Pakistani and Qatari mediation, though edits on uranium handling and enforcement persist. Ongoing indirect exchanges, combined with Iran’s nuclear program limits and maritime access issues, keep the process fluid. Any signing could occur within days or weeks, potentially in Europe, with follow-on 60-day talks addressing core demands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган
45%
Марко Рубио
45%
Мохаммед бин Заид Аль Нахайян
45%
Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа
45%
Король Абдалла II
45%
Биньямин Нетаньяху
44%
Мохаммед бин Салман
44%
Шахбаз Шариф
43%
Масуд Пезешкиан
43%
Аббас Арагчи
43%
Мишаль Аль-Ахмад Аль-Джабер Ас-Сабах
43%
Стив Виткофф
43%
Шейх Тамим бин Хамад Аль Тани
43%
Дональд Трамп
43%
Али Лариджани
37%
Абдель Фаттах ас-Сиси
37%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
28%
Пит Хегсет
19%
Джей Ди Ванс
57%
$77 Объем
Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган
$0 Объем
45%
Марко Рубио
$0 Объем
45%
Мохаммед бин Заид Аль Нахайян
$0 Объем
45%
Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа
$0 Объем
45%
Король Абдалла II
$0 Объем
45%
Биньямин Нетаньяху
$17 Объем
44%
Мохаммед бин Салман
$0 Объем
44%
Шахбаз Шариф
$0 Объем
43%
Масуд Пезешкиан
$0 Объем
43%
Аббас Арагчи
$0 Объем
43%
Мишаль Аль-Ахмад Аль-Джабер Ас-Сабах
$0 Объем
43%
Стив Виткофф
$0 Объем
43%
Шейх Тамим бин Хамад Аль Тани
$0 Объем
43%
Дональд Трамп
$0 Объем
43%
Али Лариджани
$15 Объем
37%
Абдель Фаттах ас-Сиси
$0 Объем
37%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
$0 Объем
28%
Пит Хегсет
$12 Объем
19%
Джей Ди Ванс
$33 Объем
57%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s direct oversight of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including recent cancellations of planned strikes and claims of high-level approval for an initial memorandum, shapes trader focus on who will finalize any agreement. A tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and framework for nuclear talks, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and sanctions relief emerged in late May via Pakistani and Qatari mediation, though edits on uranium handling and enforcement persist. Ongoing indirect exchanges, combined with Iran’s nuclear program limits and maritime access issues, keep the process fluid. Any signing could occur within days or weeks, potentially in Europe, with follow-on 60-day talks addressing core demands.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Объем
$77Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s direct oversight of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including recent cancellations of planned strikes and claims of high-level approval for an initial memorandum, shapes trader focus on who will finalize any agreement. A tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and framework for nuclear talks, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and sanctions relief emerged in late May via Pakistani and Qatari mediation, though edits on uranium handling and enforcement persist. Ongoing indirect exchanges, combined with Iran’s nuclear program limits and maritime access issues, keep the process fluid. Any signing could occur within days or weeks, potentially in Europe, with follow-on 60-day talks addressing core demands.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$77Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s direct oversight of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including recent cancellations of planned strikes and claims of high-level approval for an initial memorandum, shapes trader focus on who will finalize any agreement. A tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and framework for nuclear talks, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and sanctions relief emerged in late May via Pakistani and Qatari mediation, though edits on uranium handling and enforcement persist. Ongoing indirect exchanges, combined with Iran’s nuclear program limits and maritime access issues, keep the process fluid. Any signing could occur within days or weeks, potentially in Europe, with follow-on 60-day talks addressing core demands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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