Russia and China’s September 17 veto of a U.S. draft to extend the UN panel monitoring Iran sanctions exposed deep P5 divisions over the snapback mechanism and Resolution 2231, signaling persistent obstacles to any new binding UNSC measure on Iran. Negotiations following the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which envisioned a final deal endorsed by the Security Council within 60 days, have stalled amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, IAEA access denials, and Iranian demands for prior sanctions relief. Trader consensus at 87% against a resolution by year-end reflects these procedural and geopolitical barriers, with limited recent diplomatic momentum to overcome permanent-member opposition or produce the required consensus before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРезолюция СБ ООН, одобряющая окончательную американо-иранскую сделку до 31 декабря?
Резолюция СБ ООН, одобряющая окончательную американо-иранскую сделку до 31 декабря?
Да
13% вероятность
$242,663 Объем
$242,663 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
13% вероятность
$242,663 Объем
$242,663 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Russia and China’s September 17 veto of a U.S. draft to extend the UN panel monitoring Iran sanctions exposed deep P5 divisions over the snapback mechanism and Resolution 2231, signaling persistent obstacles to any new binding UNSC measure on Iran. Negotiations following the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which envisioned a final deal endorsed by the Security Council within 60 days, have stalled amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, IAEA access denials, and Iranian demands for prior sanctions relief. Trader consensus at 87% against a resolution by year-end reflects these procedural and geopolitical barriers, with limited recent diplomatic momentum to overcome permanent-member opposition or produce the required consensus before December 31.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Объем
$242,663Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Russia and China’s September 17 veto of a U.S. draft to extend the UN panel monitoring Iran sanctions exposed deep P5 divisions over the snapback mechanism and Resolution 2231, signaling persistent obstacles to any new binding UNSC measure on Iran. Negotiations following the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which envisioned a final deal endorsed by the Security Council within 60 days, have stalled amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, IAEA access denials, and Iranian demands for prior sanctions relief. Trader consensus at 87% against a resolution by year-end reflects these procedural and geopolitical barriers, with limited recent diplomatic momentum to overcome permanent-member opposition or produce the required consensus before December 31.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$242,663Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Russia and China’s September 17 veto of a U.S. draft to extend the UN panel monitoring Iran sanctions exposed deep P5 divisions over the snapback mechanism and Resolution 2231, signaling persistent obstacles to any new binding UNSC measure on Iran. Negotiations following the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which envisioned a final deal endorsed by the Security Council within 60 days, have stalled amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, IAEA access denials, and Iranian demands for prior sanctions relief. Trader consensus at 87% against a resolution by year-end reflects these procedural and geopolitical barriers, with limited recent diplomatic momentum to overcome permanent-member opposition or produce the required consensus before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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