Skip to main content
icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

июн. 12

июн. 19

июн. 12

июн. 19

Up

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Up

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating sits near second-term lows around 36-40% amid the ongoing Iran conflict and related economic pressures, including expectations of higher gas prices. Recent polling aggregates through early June show modest stabilization or slight net rebounds after sharper drops in May, creating a narrow window for week-to-week movement either way. Partisan polarization, baseline economic discontent, and scheduled developments such as Senate confirmation proceedings on key nominees keep the outcome closely balanced. Fresh weekly surveys, any diplomatic or military updates on Iran, or shifts in inflation data could quickly alter trader assessments of short-term direction.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating sits near second-term lows around 36-40% amid the ongoing Iran conflict and related economic pressures, including expectations of higher gas prices. Recent polling aggregates through early June show modest stabilization or slight net rebounds after sharper drops in May, creating a narrow window for week-to-week movement either way. Partisan polarization, baseline economic discontent, and scheduled developments such as Senate confirmation proceedings on key nominees keep the outcome closely balanced. Fresh weekly surveys, any diplomatic or military updates on Iran, or shifts in inflation data could quickly alter trader assessments of short-term direction.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Trump approval Up or Down this week?» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена Trump approval Up or Down this week? выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 50% для «Up». Цена 50% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Trump approval Up or Down this week?» — активный краткосрочный рынок на Polymarket. Объём торгов может быстро расти по мере продвижения окна дневной — входи раньше, чтобы помочь сформировать коэффициенты до закрытия этого окна.

Чтобы торговать на «Trump approval Up or Down this week?», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена Trump approval Up or Down this week? в полдень ET June 19 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET June 12. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Текущая вероятность для «Trump approval Up or Down this week?» составляет 50% для «Up», что означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность того, что цена Trump approval Up or Down this week? закроется up в этом окне дневной, в 50%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на данные о цене Trump approval Up or Down this week?. За целый день коэффициенты отражают развивающиеся настроения по мере развёртывания ценового движения дня. Заходи чаще или торгуй сейчас, пока окно не закрылось.

Рынок «Trump approval Up or Down this week?» разрешается на основе сравнения цены Trump approval Up or Down this week? в полдень ET June 19 с ценой в полдень ET June 12, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT. Если цена в полдень June 19 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».