Skip to main content
icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Up

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$1,502 Объем

Up

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$1,502 Объем

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating has remained near second-term lows around 36-40% in early June 2026 polling averages, driven by sustained voter dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and the economy, including expectations of higher gas prices and inflation pressures. Recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, and others show disapproval in the 55-63% range, with limited movement in the days leading into the week of June 13. Trader consensus on a weekly decline reflects this entrenched downward trajectory and absence of offsetting positive catalysts in the immediate period. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include verifiable progress toward de-escalation in the Middle East, unexpected favorable economic data releases, or major new controversies that accelerate erosion.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$1,502
Дата окончания
12 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: Down

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating has remained near second-term lows around 36-40% in early June 2026 polling averages, driven by sustained voter dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and the economy, including expectations of higher gas prices and inflation pressures. Recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, and others show disapproval in the 55-63% range, with limited movement in the days leading into the week of June 13. Trader consensus on a weekly decline reflects this entrenched downward trajectory and absence of offsetting positive catalysts in the immediate period. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include verifiable progress toward de-escalation in the Middle East, unexpected favorable economic data releases, or major new controversies that accelerate erosion.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$1,502
Дата окончания
12 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: Down

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Down

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Trump approval Up or Down this week?» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена Trump approval Up or Down this week? выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 100% для «Down». Цена 100% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Trump approval Up or Down this week?» — активный краткосрочный рынок на Polymarket. Объём торгов может быстро расти по мере продвижения окна дневной — входи раньше, чтобы помочь сформировать коэффициенты до закрытия этого окна.

Чтобы торговать на «Trump approval Up or Down this week?», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена Trump approval Up or Down this week? в полдень ET June 11 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET June 5. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Это окно дневной закрылось и разрешено. Окончательный исход — «Down». Используй навигацию по времени вверху этой страницы, чтобы просмотреть соседние окна или найти текущий активный рынок.

Рынок «Trump approval Up or Down this week?» разрешается на основе сравнения цены Trump approval Up or Down this week? в полдень ET June 11 с ценой в полдень ET June 5, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT. Если цена в полдень June 11 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».