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icon for Кто будет голосовать за утверждение Джея Клейтона в качестве директора Национальной разведки
Политика·DNI

Кто будет голосовать за утверждение Джея Клейтона в качестве директора Национальной разведки

icon for Кто будет голосовать за утверждение Джея Клейтона в качестве директора Национальной разведки
Политика·DNI

Кто будет голосовать за утверждение Джея Клейтона в качестве директора Национальной разведки

НОВОЕ
1 янв. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$412 Объем

Polymarket

Джон Феттерман

$0 Объем

45%

Митч Макконнелл

$52 Объем

49%

Лиза Мурковски

$43 Объем

45%

Сьюзан Коллинз

$35 Объем

47%

Джон Кертис

$67 Объем

48%

Дэн Салливан

$38 Объем

47%

Рэнд Пол

$36 Объем

46%

Джон Корнин

$48 Объем

48%

Билл Кэссиди

$43 Объем

45%

Том Тиллис

$50 Объем

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Trump's June 11 nomination of Jay Clayton, the sitting U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC chairman, to serve as Director of National Intelligence has set the confirmation process in motion. The Senate Intelligence Committee scheduled his hearing for June 17, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune signaling intent to advance the nomination quickly once paperwork arrives. Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Thom Tillis have praised Clayton's record and urged swift approval. Democrats have raised questions about the timing amid disputes over acting DNI Bill Pulte and FISA reauthorization deadlines. Confirmation requires a Senate majority; the rapid timeline and cross-aisle reactions to the nominee's background will shape trader assessments of individual senator positions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$412
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Trump's June 11 nomination of Jay Clayton, the sitting U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC chairman, to serve as Director of National Intelligence has set the confirmation process in motion. The Senate Intelligence Committee scheduled his hearing for June 17, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune signaling intent to advance the nomination quickly once paperwork arrives. Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Thom Tillis have praised Clayton's record and urged swift approval. Democrats have raised questions about the timing amid disputes over acting DNI Bill Pulte and FISA reauthorization deadlines. Confirmation requires a Senate majority; the rapid timeline and cross-aisle reactions to the nominee's background will shape trader assessments of individual senator positions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$412
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Текущий фаворит для «Кто будет голосовать за утверждение Джея Клейтона в качестве директора Национальной разведки» — «Митч Макконнелл» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Том Тиллис» с 49%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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