Republican House members not seeking re-election in the 2026 cycle have reached 37 as of mid-August, according to trackers from Ballotpedia, Wikipedia, and the House Press Gallery, placing the total squarely in the 36–39 range that traders favor at 82.5%. This elevated pace reflects a combination of members pursuing other offices such as governorships or Senate seats, redistricting effects in states like California and Utah, personal or political pressures, and broader institutional frustration within a narrow majority facing a competitive midterm environment. Most announcements occurred earlier in the cycle, with recent months showing limited additional departures that have kept the count stable near historical highs for one party. Few further exits are expected before filing deadlines, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько членов Республиканской палаты не будет баллотироваться в 2026 году?
Сколько членов Республиканской палаты не будет баллотироваться в 2026 году?
36–39 82.5%
40–43 6.2%
32–35 4.6%
44+ 2.3%
$71,865 Объем
$71,865 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
<24
1%
24–27
2%
28–31
1%
32–35
5%
36–39
83%
40–43
6%
44+
2%
36–39 82.5%
40–43 6.2%
32–35 4.6%
44+ 2.3%
$71,865 Объем
$71,865 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
<24
$6,266 Объем
1%
24–27
$20,164 Объем
2%
28–31
$23,648 Объем
1%
32–35
$6,174 Объем
5%
36–39
$8,153 Объем
83%
40–43
$3,871 Объем
6%
44+
$3,589 Объем
2%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican House members not seeking re-election in the 2026 cycle have reached 37 as of mid-August, according to trackers from Ballotpedia, Wikipedia, and the House Press Gallery, placing the total squarely in the 36–39 range that traders favor at 82.5%. This elevated pace reflects a combination of members pursuing other offices such as governorships or Senate seats, redistricting effects in states like California and Utah, personal or political pressures, and broader institutional frustration within a narrow majority facing a competitive midterm environment. Most announcements occurred earlier in the cycle, with recent months showing limited additional departures that have kept the count stable near historical highs for one party. Few further exits are expected before filing deadlines, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Объем
$71,865Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican House members not seeking re-election in the 2026 cycle have reached 37 as of mid-August, according to trackers from Ballotpedia, Wikipedia, and the House Press Gallery, placing the total squarely in the 36–39 range that traders favor at 82.5%. This elevated pace reflects a combination of members pursuing other offices such as governorships or Senate seats, redistricting effects in states like California and Utah, personal or political pressures, and broader institutional frustration within a narrow majority facing a competitive midterm environment. Most announcements occurred earlier in the cycle, with recent months showing limited additional departures that have kept the count stable near historical highs for one party. Few further exits are expected before filing deadlines, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$71,865Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican House members not seeking re-election in the 2026 cycle have reached 37 as of mid-August, according to trackers from Ballotpedia, Wikipedia, and the House Press Gallery, placing the total squarely in the 36–39 range that traders favor at 82.5%. This elevated pace reflects a combination of members pursuing other offices such as governorships or Senate seats, redistricting effects in states like California and Utah, personal or political pressures, and broader institutional frustration within a narrow majority facing a competitive midterm environment. Most announcements occurred earlier in the cycle, with recent months showing limited additional departures that have kept the count stable near historical highs for one party. Few further exits are expected before filing deadlines, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли число членов Сената от Республиканской партии, уходящих в отставку в 2026 году, ровно 7?
77%
Да
Будет ли число демократов Палаты представителей, ушедших в отставку в 2026 году, от 20 до 23 включительно?
51%
Да
Потерпят ли поражение действующие республиканцы в Палате представителей на четырёх-шести праймериз в цикле 2026 года?
93%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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