The closely matched prices for the 36–39, 40–43, and 44+ Republican House retirements reflect the record pace of announcements so far this cycle, with roughly 36–37 members already stepping aside or seeking other offices. Legislative gridlock, opportunities in state races such as governorships, and uncertainty over the 2026 midterm environment have accelerated departures among longer-serving Republicans, exceeding the totals seen in recent comparable cycles. With filing deadlines and primary contests still ahead, additional announcements or shifts in plans could push the final count across the current clustering of outcomes, while historical patterns of late-cycle decisions keep the ranges competitive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько членов Республиканской палаты не будет баллотироваться в 2026 году?
Сколько членов Республиканской палаты не будет баллотироваться в 2026 году?
44+ 45.0%
28–31 14%
32–35 <1%
<24 <1%
$56,541 Объем
$56,541 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
<24
<1%
24–27
<1%
28–31
14%
32–35
<1%
36–39
39%
40–43
42%
44+
45%
44+ 45.0%
28–31 14%
32–35 <1%
<24 <1%
$56,541 Объем
$56,541 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
<24
$3,907 Объем
<1%
24–27
$18,964 Объем
<1%
28–31
$21,831 Объем
14%
32–35
$4,611 Объем
<1%
36–39
$2,548 Объем
39%
40–43
$2,077 Объем
42%
44+
$2,602 Объем
45%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched prices for the 36–39, 40–43, and 44+ Republican House retirements reflect the record pace of announcements so far this cycle, with roughly 36–37 members already stepping aside or seeking other offices. Legislative gridlock, opportunities in state races such as governorships, and uncertainty over the 2026 midterm environment have accelerated departures among longer-serving Republicans, exceeding the totals seen in recent comparable cycles. With filing deadlines and primary contests still ahead, additional announcements or shifts in plans could push the final count across the current clustering of outcomes, while historical patterns of late-cycle decisions keep the ranges competitive.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Объем
$56,541Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched prices for the 36–39, 40–43, and 44+ Republican House retirements reflect the record pace of announcements so far this cycle, with roughly 36–37 members already stepping aside or seeking other offices. Legislative gridlock, opportunities in state races such as governorships, and uncertainty over the 2026 midterm environment have accelerated departures among longer-serving Republicans, exceeding the totals seen in recent comparable cycles. With filing deadlines and primary contests still ahead, additional announcements or shifts in plans could push the final count across the current clustering of outcomes, while historical patterns of late-cycle decisions keep the ranges competitive.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$56,541Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched prices for the 36–39, 40–43, and 44+ Republican House retirements reflect the record pace of announcements so far this cycle, with roughly 36–37 members already stepping aside or seeking other offices. Legislative gridlock, opportunities in state races such as governorships, and uncertainty over the 2026 midterm environment have accelerated departures among longer-serving Republicans, exceeding the totals seen in recent comparable cycles. With filing deadlines and primary contests still ahead, additional announcements or shifts in plans could push the final count across the current clustering of outcomes, while historical patterns of late-cycle decisions keep the ranges competitive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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