Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 5th Congressional District due to longtime incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks' structural dominance in this D+24 Cook PVI seat covering Southeast Queens. Meeks, seeking a 15th term, routinely secures over 70% in general elections—as in his 73%-27% 2024 win—and holds $1.87 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers. In the June 23 Democratic primary, he faces community organizer Salvatore Padellaro amid low competition, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh lack fundraising. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, major Meeks scandal, aggressive GOP recruitment post-primary, or an extraordinary national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,223 Объем
$22,223 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$22,223 Объем
$22,223 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$14,739 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$7,484 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 5th Congressional District due to longtime incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks' structural dominance in this D+24 Cook PVI seat covering Southeast Queens. Meeks, seeking a 15th term, routinely secures over 70% in general elections—as in his 73%-27% 2024 win—and holds $1.87 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers. In the June 23 Democratic primary, he faces community organizer Salvatore Padellaro amid low competition, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh lack fundraising. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, major Meeks scandal, aggressive GOP recruitment post-primary, or an extraordinary national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$22,223Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 5th Congressional District due to longtime incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks' structural dominance in this D+24 Cook PVI seat covering Southeast Queens. Meeks, seeking a 15th term, routinely secures over 70% in general elections—as in his 73%-27% 2024 win—and holds $1.87 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers. In the June 23 Democratic primary, he faces community organizer Salvatore Padellaro amid low competition, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh lack fundraising. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, major Meeks scandal, aggressive GOP recruitment post-primary, or an extraordinary national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,223Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 5th Congressional District due to longtime incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks' structural dominance in this D+24 Cook PVI seat covering Southeast Queens. Meeks, seeking a 15th term, routinely secures over 70% in general elections—as in his 73%-27% 2024 win—and holds $1.87 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers. In the June 23 Democratic primary, he faces community organizer Salvatore Padellaro amid low competition, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh lack fundraising. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, major Meeks scandal, aggressive GOP recruitment post-primary, or an extraordinary national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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