Trader consensus favors 32–35 Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026, reflecting the roughly 20 already announced retirements or bids for other offices by mid-May alongside expectations of further exits. Senior members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Danny Davis, and Jan Schakowsky have stepped aside, part of a broader wave among older lawmakers. Additional factors that could lift the total include Senate ambitions by sitting representatives, ongoing redistricting in key states, and the typical late-cycle retirement announcements that occur before filing deadlines. With Democrats holding a minority of seats and facing a competitive midterm environment, the pace of new declarations through the summer will likely determine whether totals settle near the current leading range or push higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено32–35 32.0%
28–31 20%
24–27 19%
20–23 14.1%
$31,654 Объем
$31,654 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Меньше 20
3%
20–23
14%
24–27
19%
28–31
20%
32–35
32%
36–39
3%
40+
17%
32–35 32.0%
28–31 20%
24–27 19%
20–23 14.1%
$31,654 Объем
$31,654 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Меньше 20
$16,991 Объем
3%
20–23
$5,250 Объем
14%
24–27
$4,156 Объем
19%
28–31
$1,174 Объем
20%
32–35
$3,574 Объем
32%
36–39
$508 Объем
3%
40+
$0 Объем
17%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors 32–35 Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026, reflecting the roughly 20 already announced retirements or bids for other offices by mid-May alongside expectations of further exits. Senior members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Danny Davis, and Jan Schakowsky have stepped aside, part of a broader wave among older lawmakers. Additional factors that could lift the total include Senate ambitions by sitting representatives, ongoing redistricting in key states, and the typical late-cycle retirement announcements that occur before filing deadlines. With Democrats holding a minority of seats and facing a competitive midterm environment, the pace of new declarations through the summer will likely determine whether totals settle near the current leading range or push higher.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Объем
$31,654Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors 32–35 Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026, reflecting the roughly 20 already announced retirements or bids for other offices by mid-May alongside expectations of further exits. Senior members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Danny Davis, and Jan Schakowsky have stepped aside, part of a broader wave among older lawmakers. Additional factors that could lift the total include Senate ambitions by sitting representatives, ongoing redistricting in key states, and the typical late-cycle retirement announcements that occur before filing deadlines. With Democrats holding a minority of seats and facing a competitive midterm environment, the pace of new declarations through the summer will likely determine whether totals settle near the current leading range or push higher.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$31,654Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 32–35 Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026, reflecting the roughly 20 already announced retirements or bids for other offices by mid-May alongside expectations of further exits. Senior members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Danny Davis, and Jan Schakowsky have stepped aside, part of a broader wave among older lawmakers. Additional factors that could lift the total include Senate ambitions by sitting representatives, ongoing redistricting in key states, and the typical late-cycle retirement announcements that occur before filing deadlines. With Democrats holding a minority of seats and facing a competitive midterm environment, the pace of new declarations through the summer will likely determine whether totals settle near the current leading range or push higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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