Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by strong statewide results in recent cycles, underpins her advantage, reinforced by an easy primary victory, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $11 million, and endorsements from party leaders including President Trump. Democrat Angie Nixon, a state representative who secured her nomination in an August upset, faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3 despite focusing on affordability and healthcare issues. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Moody’s incumbency edge and the state’s partisan fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Флориды
Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды
$110,493 Объем
$110,493 Объем
Эшли Муди (Р)
92%
Энджи Никсон (Д)
8%
$110,493 Объем
$110,493 Объем
Эшли Муди (Р)
$55,093 Объем
92%
Энджи Никсон (Д)
$55,400 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by strong statewide results in recent cycles, underpins her advantage, reinforced by an easy primary victory, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $11 million, and endorsements from party leaders including President Trump. Democrat Angie Nixon, a state representative who secured her nomination in an August upset, faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3 despite focusing on affordability and healthcare issues. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Moody’s incumbency edge and the state’s partisan fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Объем
$110,493Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by strong statewide results in recent cycles, underpins her advantage, reinforced by an easy primary victory, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $11 million, and endorsements from party leaders including President Trump. Democrat Angie Nixon, a state representative who secured her nomination in an August upset, faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3 despite focusing on affordability and healthcare issues. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Moody’s incumbency edge and the state’s partisan fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$110,493Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by strong statewide results in recent cycles, underpins her advantage, reinforced by an easy primary victory, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $11 million, and endorsements from party leaders including President Trump. Democrat Angie Nixon, a state representative who secured her nomination in an August upset, faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3 despite focusing on affordability and healthcare issues. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Moody’s incumbency edge and the state’s partisan fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы