Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 after replacing the late Bill Pascrell, holds a structural edge in the D+2 New Jersey 9th district ahead of the November 3 general election. Race raters classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing her primary victory and the seat’s long-term partisan tilt despite its narrow Trump margin in 2024. Republican nominee Rosie Pino, who prevailed in the June 2 primary, faces the challenge of expanding the party’s base in a district where Democrats maintain a registration advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments that would alter the competitive balance before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNJ-09 House Election Winner
NJ-09 House Election Winner
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
$779 Объем
87%
Republican Party
$306 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 after replacing the late Bill Pascrell, holds a structural edge in the D+2 New Jersey 9th district ahead of the November 3 general election. Race raters classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing her primary victory and the seat’s long-term partisan tilt despite its narrow Trump margin in 2024. Republican nominee Rosie Pino, who prevailed in the June 2 primary, faces the challenge of expanding the party’s base in a district where Democrats maintain a registration advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments that would alter the competitive balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
Объем
$1,085Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 after replacing the late Bill Pascrell, holds a structural edge in the D+2 New Jersey 9th district ahead of the November 3 general election. Race raters classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing her primary victory and the seat’s long-term partisan tilt despite its narrow Trump margin in 2024. Republican nominee Rosie Pino, who prevailed in the June 2 primary, faces the challenge of expanding the party’s base in a district where Democrats maintain a registration advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments that would alter the competitive balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$1,085Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 after replacing the late Bill Pascrell, holds a structural edge in the D+2 New Jersey 9th district ahead of the November 3 general election. Race raters classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing her primary victory and the seat’s long-term partisan tilt despite its narrow Trump margin in 2024. Republican nominee Rosie Pino, who prevailed in the June 2 primary, faces the challenge of expanding the party’s base in a district where Democrats maintain a registration advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments that would alter the competitive balance before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы