Incumbent Yvette Clarke’s reelection bid in New York’s 9th Congressional District benefits from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit general-election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, citing Clarke’s established fundraising and name recognition against limited Republican opposition. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring challengers with modest support, is not expected to alter the trajectory given the district’s structural advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic could shift only under an unlikely primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee, a major scandal involving Clarke, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-09
$29,405 Объем
$29,405 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
5%
$29,405 Объем
$29,405 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$17,365 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$12,040 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Yvette Clarke’s reelection bid in New York’s 9th Congressional District benefits from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit general-election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, citing Clarke’s established fundraising and name recognition against limited Republican opposition. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring challengers with modest support, is not expected to alter the trajectory given the district’s structural advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic could shift only under an unlikely primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee, a major scandal involving Clarke, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$29,405Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Yvette Clarke’s reelection bid in New York’s 9th Congressional District benefits from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit general-election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, citing Clarke’s established fundraising and name recognition against limited Republican opposition. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring challengers with modest support, is not expected to alter the trajectory given the district’s structural advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic could shift only under an unlikely primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee, a major scandal involving Clarke, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$29,405Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Yvette Clarke’s reelection bid in New York’s 9th Congressional District benefits from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit general-election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, citing Clarke’s established fundraising and name recognition against limited Republican opposition. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring challengers with modest support, is not expected to alter the trajectory given the district’s structural advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic could shift only under an unlikely primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee, a major scandal involving Clarke, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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