Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election for Ohio's 3rd congressional district. The seat, centered in Franklin County around portions of Columbus, carries a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Beatty's 70%+ share in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan composition, Beatty's established incumbency advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic Party at 95.5% implied probability on this basis. A late retirement announcement by Beatty, significant health development, major scandal, or national political shift large enough to overcome the structural advantage could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-03
$58,344 Объем
$58,344 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джойс Битти (Д)
96%
Клеофус Дулэйни (Р)
2%
$58,344 Объем
$58,344 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джойс Битти (Д)
$29,821 Объем
96%
Клеофус Дулэйни (Р)
$28,522 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election for Ohio's 3rd congressional district. The seat, centered in Franklin County around portions of Columbus, carries a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Beatty's 70%+ share in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan composition, Beatty's established incumbency advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic Party at 95.5% implied probability on this basis. A late retirement announcement by Beatty, significant health development, major scandal, or national political shift large enough to overcome the structural advantage could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$58,344Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election for Ohio's 3rd congressional district. The seat, centered in Franklin County around portions of Columbus, carries a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Beatty's 70%+ share in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan composition, Beatty's established incumbency advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic Party at 95.5% implied probability on this basis. A late retirement announcement by Beatty, significant health development, major scandal, or national political shift large enough to overcome the structural advantage could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$58,344Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election for Ohio's 3rd congressional district. The seat, centered in Franklin County around portions of Columbus, carries a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Beatty's 70%+ share in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan composition, Beatty's established incumbency advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic Party at 95.5% implied probability on this basis. A late retirement announcement by Beatty, significant health development, major scandal, or national political shift large enough to overcome the structural advantage could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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