Recent polling averages place Together, the Bennett-Lapid joint list, around 12-13 projected Knesset seats as the October 27 election nears, reflecting a post-merger decline from earlier peaks near 20 seats. This positions the party’s expected vote share near the 9-11% band, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to the adjacent 7-9% interval amid ongoing volatility between center-right and centrist opposition options. Yashar’s rise under Eisenkot and Likud’s relative stability have drawn support away, while bloc-level deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition forces sustains uncertainty. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among secular or nationalist voters, surplus agreements, or last-minute developments could widen or narrow the final share before lists close and ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Израиле: вместе голосуем?
7-9% 34%
9-11% 34%
11-13% 16%
<7% 16%
<7%
16%
7-9%
34%
9-11%
34%
11-13%
16%
13%+
2%
7-9% 34%
9-11% 34%
11-13% 16%
<7% 16%
<7%
16%
7-9%
34%
9-11%
34%
11-13%
16%
13%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Источник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Together, the Bennett-Lapid joint list, around 12-13 projected Knesset seats as the October 27 election nears, reflecting a post-merger decline from earlier peaks near 20 seats. This positions the party’s expected vote share near the 9-11% band, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to the adjacent 7-9% interval amid ongoing volatility between center-right and centrist opposition options. Yashar’s rise under Eisenkot and Likud’s relative stability have drawn support away, while bloc-level deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition forces sustains uncertainty. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among secular or nationalist voters, surplus agreements, or last-minute developments could widen or narrow the final share before lists close and ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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