The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОливье Фор 37%
Филипп Брун 33%
Сеголен Руаяль 33%
Рафаэль Глюксманн 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 окт. 2026 г.
Оливье Фор
37%
Филипп Брун
33%
Сеголен Руаяль
33%
Рафаэль Глюксманн
31%
Жером Гедж
32%
Эммануэль Морель
12%
Оливье Фор 37%
Филипп Брун 33%
Сеголен Руаяль 33%
Рафаэль Глюксманн 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 окт. 2026 г.
Оливье Фор
$20 Объем
37%
Филипп Брун
$20 Объем
33%
Сеголен Руаяль
$20 Объем
33%
Рафаэль Глюксманн
$20 Объем
31%
Жером Гедж
$38 Объем
32%
Эммануэль Морель
$71 Объем
12%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Объем
$189Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Объем
$189Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли Рафаэль Глюксманн первый тур праймериз французских социалистов?
45%
Да
Первый тур социалистических праймериз во Франции завершится победой одного кандидата?
50%
Да
Выиграет ли Рафаэль Глюксман выдвижение от Социалистической партии для участия в президентских выборах во Франции в 2027 году?
65%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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