Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, receiving between 0.5% and 1.5% support in most surveys, often failing to reach the electoral threshold. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation in the center and opposition blocs, where newer lists led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett draw comparable or greater shares. Gantz has pursued alliances with candidates including Dedi Simhi to broaden appeal and emphasize security and unity themes, yet these efforts have not shifted measurable support in recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with uncertainty tied to final list submissions, potential last-minute mergers, and turnout patterns among centrist voters that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0,75–1,25% 44%
2-3,25% 44%
1.25–2% 27%
3,25%+ 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<0,75%
41%
0,75–1,25%
44%
1.25–2%
27%
2-3,25%
44%
3,25%+
27%
0,75–1,25% 44%
2-3,25% 44%
1.25–2% 27%
3,25%+ 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<0,75%
$19 Объем
41%
0,75–1,25%
$0 Объем
44%
1.25–2%
$0 Объем
27%
2-3,25%
$0 Объем
44%
3,25%+
$0 Объем
27%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, receiving between 0.5% and 1.5% support in most surveys, often failing to reach the electoral threshold. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation in the center and opposition blocs, where newer lists led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett draw comparable or greater shares. Gantz has pursued alliances with candidates including Dedi Simhi to broaden appeal and emphasize security and unity themes, yet these efforts have not shifted measurable support in recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with uncertainty tied to final list submissions, potential last-minute mergers, and turnout patterns among centrist voters that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Объем
$19Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, receiving between 0.5% and 1.5% support in most surveys, often failing to reach the electoral threshold. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation in the center and opposition blocs, where newer lists led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett draw comparable or greater shares. Gantz has pursued alliances with candidates including Dedi Simhi to broaden appeal and emphasize security and unity themes, yet these efforts have not shifted measurable support in recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with uncertainty tied to final list submissions, potential last-minute mergers, and turnout patterns among centrist voters that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$19Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, receiving between 0.5% and 1.5% support in most surveys, often failing to reach the electoral threshold. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation in the center and opposition blocs, where newer lists led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett draw comparable or greater shares. Gantz has pursued alliances with candidates including Dedi Simhi to broaden appeal and emphasize security and unity themes, yet these efforts have not shifted measurable support in recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with uncertainty tied to final list submissions, potential last-minute mergers, and turnout patterns among centrist voters that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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