Sweden Democrats maintain a strong position to finish second in the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, backed by consistent polling leads of 19–20% over the Moderate Party’s 17% in mid-2026 surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator. Social Democrats lead overall near 32%, leaving the right-leaning bloc fragmented, with SD benefiting from steady nationalist voter consolidation and limited recent movement between the two parties. The Tidö government’s cooperation agreement and April 2026 statements on potential cabinet roles for SD have reinforced its influence without shifting relative support versus the Moderates. Election security measures and foreign influence concerns have not materially altered these trends in the final month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоSweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Left Party (V) <1%
$30,887 Объем
$30,887 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%
Moderate Party (M)
15%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Left Party (V) <1%
$30,887 Объем
$30,887 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,603 Объем
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$10,244 Объем
85%
Moderate Party (M)
$5,985 Объем
15%
Centre Party (C)
$2,173 Объем
<1%
Left Party (V)
$2,896 Объем
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,803 Объем
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$1,781 Объем
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,713 Объем
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,689 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden Democrats maintain a strong position to finish second in the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, backed by consistent polling leads of 19–20% over the Moderate Party’s 17% in mid-2026 surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator. Social Democrats lead overall near 32%, leaving the right-leaning bloc fragmented, with SD benefiting from steady nationalist voter consolidation and limited recent movement between the two parties. The Tidö government’s cooperation agreement and April 2026 statements on potential cabinet roles for SD have reinforced its influence without shifting relative support versus the Moderates. Election security measures and foreign influence concerns have not materially altered these trends in the final month.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Объем
$30,887Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden Democrats maintain a strong position to finish second in the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, backed by consistent polling leads of 19–20% over the Moderate Party’s 17% in mid-2026 surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator. Social Democrats lead overall near 32%, leaving the right-leaning bloc fragmented, with SD benefiting from steady nationalist voter consolidation and limited recent movement between the two parties. The Tidö government’s cooperation agreement and April 2026 statements on potential cabinet roles for SD have reinforced its influence without shifting relative support versus the Moderates. Election security measures and foreign influence concerns have not materially altered these trends in the final month.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$30,887Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sweden Democrats maintain a strong position to finish second in the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, backed by consistent polling leads of 19–20% over the Moderate Party’s 17% in mid-2026 surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator. Social Democrats lead overall near 32%, leaving the right-leaning bloc fragmented, with SD benefiting from steady nationalist voter consolidation and limited recent movement between the two parties. The Tidö government’s cooperation agreement and April 2026 statements on potential cabinet roles for SD have reinforced its influence without shifting relative support versus the Moderates. Election security measures and foreign influence concerns have not materially altered these trends in the final month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
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99%
Да
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