Recent Swedish opinion polls consistently place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, positioning the Moderate Party for a clear third-place finish in the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election. July and June surveys from Novus, Indikator Opinion, and Demoskop show the Moderates holding steady at 16-17% support, well behind the leading parties but ahead of smaller groups such as the Left, Greens, and Centre. The governing Tidö bloc has trailed the opposition Red-Greens in bloc-level polling for months, with limited movement in individual party rankings. Traders price the Moderate Party outcome highest because these trends have shown durability into the final weeks before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 15%
Green Party (MP) 1.2%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$24,539 Объем
$24,539 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
15%
Moderate Party (M)
84%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 15%
Green Party (MP) 1.2%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$24,539 Объем
$24,539 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$1,324 Объем
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$3,706 Объем
15%
Moderate Party (M)
$9,851 Объем
84%
Centre Party (C)
$2,124 Объем
1%
Left Party (V)
$1,241 Объем
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,217 Объем
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$2,088 Объем
1%
Liberals (L)
$1,463 Объем
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,524 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls consistently place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, positioning the Moderate Party for a clear third-place finish in the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election. July and June surveys from Novus, Indikator Opinion, and Demoskop show the Moderates holding steady at 16-17% support, well behind the leading parties but ahead of smaller groups such as the Left, Greens, and Centre. The governing Tidö bloc has trailed the opposition Red-Greens in bloc-level polling for months, with limited movement in individual party rankings. Traders price the Moderate Party outcome highest because these trends have shown durability into the final weeks before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Объем
$24,539Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls consistently place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, positioning the Moderate Party for a clear third-place finish in the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election. July and June surveys from Novus, Indikator Opinion, and Demoskop show the Moderates holding steady at 16-17% support, well behind the leading parties but ahead of smaller groups such as the Left, Greens, and Centre. The governing Tidö bloc has trailed the opposition Red-Greens in bloc-level polling for months, with limited movement in individual party rankings. Traders price the Moderate Party outcome highest because these trends have shown durability into the final weeks before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$24,539Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls consistently place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, positioning the Moderate Party for a clear third-place finish in the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election. July and June surveys from Novus, Indikator Opinion, and Demoskop show the Moderates holding steady at 16-17% support, well behind the leading parties but ahead of smaller groups such as the Left, Greens, and Centre. The governing Tidö bloc has trailed the opposition Red-Greens in bloc-level polling for months, with limited movement in individual party rankings. Traders price the Moderate Party outcome highest because these trends have shown durability into the final weeks before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
85%
Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?
99%
Да
Выйграют ли партии Тидё большинство на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?
8%
Да
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