Maryland’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Sarah Elfreth seeking re-election in a district carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. The June 23 primary will finalize nominees from both parties, yet the general-election landscape favors the Democratic candidate due to voter registration advantages and fundraising patterns typical of the district. Republican contenders, largely perennial candidates, have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. A significant shift in odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$27,497 Объем
$27,497 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
$27,497 Объем
$27,497 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
$20,575 Объем
96%
Republican Party
$6,922 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Sarah Elfreth seeking re-election in a district carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. The June 23 primary will finalize nominees from both parties, yet the general-election landscape favors the Democratic candidate due to voter registration advantages and fundraising patterns typical of the district. Republican contenders, largely perennial candidates, have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. A significant shift in odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$27,497Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Sarah Elfreth seeking re-election in a district carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. The June 23 primary will finalize nominees from both parties, yet the general-election landscape favors the Democratic candidate due to voter registration advantages and fundraising patterns typical of the district. Republican contenders, largely perennial candidates, have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. A significant shift in odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,497Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Sarah Elfreth seeking re-election in a district carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. The June 23 primary will finalize nominees from both parties, yet the general-election landscape favors the Democratic candidate due to voter registration advantages and fundraising patterns typical of the district. Republican contenders, largely perennial candidates, have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. A significant shift in odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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