Skip to main content
icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

20-39 52%

140-159 45%

160-179 39%

180-199 39%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20-39 52%

140-159 45%

160-179 39%

180-199 39%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<20

$30 Объем

19%

20-39

$10 Объем

66%

40-59

$0 Объем

30%

60-79

$30 Объем

20%

80-99

$30 Объем

37%

100-119

$30 Объем

20%

120-139

$71 Объем

17%

140-159

$43 Объем

45%

160-179

$43 Объем

39%

180-199

$43 Объем

39%

200+

$43 Объем

39%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (66%) to the 20-39 posts range for June 16-23 based on patterns observed since inauguration. This moderate volume aligns with roughly three to five daily updates on routine city operations, events, and policy announcements, absent any major scheduled catalysts or breaking developments in the immediate period that would drive higher output. Secondary ranges such as 40-59 (29.5%) and various higher bins around 19-22.5% reflect limited expectations of spikes from unfolding issues like public safety, events planning, or legislative activity, while lower bins near 19% price in the low likelihood of unusually quiet weeks. Market positioning draws from the administration's established communications rhythm rather than short-term volatility.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$375
Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (66%) to the 20-39 posts range for June 16-23 based on patterns observed since inauguration. This moderate volume aligns with roughly three to five daily updates on routine city operations, events, and policy announcements, absent any major scheduled catalysts or breaking developments in the immediate period that would drive higher output. Secondary ranges such as 40-59 (29.5%) and various higher bins around 19-22.5% reflect limited expectations of spikes from unfolding issues like public safety, events planning, or legislative activity, while lower bins near 19% price in the low likelihood of unusually quiet weeks. Market positioning draws from the administration's established communications rhythm rather than short-term volatility.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$375
Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-39» с 66%, за ним следует «40-59» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 66¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 66%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 13, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?» — «20-39» с 66%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 66%. Следующий ближайший исход — «40-59» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.