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Технологии·OpenAI

Илон Маск выигрывает $ 10b+ урегулирование против Altman/OpenAI?

icon for Илон Маск выигрывает $ 10b+ урегулирование против Altman/OpenAI?
Технологии·OpenAI

Илон Маск выигрывает $ 10b+ урегулирование против Altman/OpenAI?

Да

9% вероятность
Polymarket

$79,572 Объем

Да

9% вероятность
Polymarket

$79,572 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count. If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market. If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing federal trial in Oakland has anchored trader consensus at a 91.5% probability against Elon Musk securing a $10 billion-plus settlement from Sam Altman or OpenAI. Closing arguments wrapped up this week after testimony on the artificial intelligence lab’s shift from nonprofit to for-profit status, with Musk’s pre-trial settlement overture rejected by OpenAI leadership. Defense arguments on statute-of-limitations barriers and absence of proven breach have resonated, while the judge retains final authority over remedies that could include structural changes rather than cash payouts. Upcoming jury deliberations and remedy hearings remain the key near-term catalysts that could still shift sentiment if unexpected liability findings emerge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.

If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.

If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$79,572
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count. If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market. If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count. If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market. If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing federal trial in Oakland has anchored trader consensus at a 91.5% probability against Elon Musk securing a $10 billion-plus settlement from Sam Altman or OpenAI. Closing arguments wrapped up this week after testimony on the artificial intelligence lab’s shift from nonprofit to for-profit status, with Musk’s pre-trial settlement overture rejected by OpenAI leadership. Defense arguments on statute-of-limitations barriers and absence of proven breach have resonated, while the judge retains final authority over remedies that could include structural changes rather than cash payouts. Upcoming jury deliberations and remedy hearings remain the key near-term catalysts that could still shift sentiment if unexpected liability findings emerge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.

If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.

If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$79,572
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count. If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market. If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Илон Маск выигрывает $ 10b+ урегулирование против Altman/OpenAI?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Илон Маск выигрывает иск на сумму более 10 млрд долларов против Аltman/OpenAI?» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 9¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 9%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Илон Маск выигрывает $ 10b+ урегулирование против Altman/OpenAI?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $79.6K с момента запуска рынка Apr 27, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Илон Маск выигрывает $ 10b+ урегулирование против Altman/OpenAI?» — «Илон Маск выигрывает иск на сумму более 10 млрд долларов против Аltman/OpenAI?» всего с 9%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Илон Маск выигрывает $ 10b+ урегулирование против Altman/OpenAI?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.