With the 2026 FIFA World Cup one month from kickoff on June 11, trader sentiment across group advancement markets reflects the fixed 12-group draw, where top teams like Spain, France, Brazil, and Argentina command 90%+ implied probabilities due to dominant qualifying campaigns, squad depth, and softer matchups against debutants like Cape Verde or Curaçao. A surge of season-ending injuries has shifted dynamics, sidelining Brazil's Rodrygo and Éder Militão (ACL/hamstring), Germany's Serge Gnabry (muscle tear), Netherlands' Xavi Simons (ACL), and others, opening doors for best-third bids by underdogs while hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico leverage home crowds and venue familiarity. Final friendlies, provisional squads (e.g., France omitting Camavinga), and leadership in training camps remain key wildcards before group stage resolution via points, goal difference, and head-to-head ties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
$10,865 Объем
Spain
96%
Germany
95%
Portugal
94%
Belgium
93%
England
93%
Brazil
92%
France
92%
Argentina
92%
Switzerland
91%
Netherlands
88%
Colombia
87%
Morocco
85%
Uruguay
84%
Mexico
84%
Ecuador
82%
Canada
82%
Austria
82%
USA
81%
Norway
81%
Japan
79%
Croatia
75%
Turkiye
74%
Paraguay
63%
Scotland
73%
Czechia
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69%
Algeria
69%
Egypt
66%
Ivory Coast
65%
South Korea
64%
Sweden
62%
Senegal
60%
Iran
60%
Australia
43%
Ghana
48%
Saudi Arabia
48%
DR Congo
47%
Tunisia
44%
South Africa
39%
Uzbekistan
40%
Cape Verde
31%
New Zealand
31%
Panama
30%
Qatar
25%
Jordan
21%
Haiti
13%
Iraq
11%
Curacao
13%
$10,865 Объем
Spain
96%
Germany
95%
Portugal
94%
Belgium
93%
England
93%
Brazil
92%
France
92%
Argentina
92%
Switzerland
91%
Netherlands
88%
Colombia
87%
Morocco
85%
Uruguay
84%
Mexico
84%
Ecuador
82%
Canada
82%
Austria
82%
USA
81%
Norway
81%
Japan
79%
Croatia
75%
Turkiye
74%
Paraguay
63%
Scotland
73%
Czechia
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69%
Algeria
69%
Egypt
66%
Ivory Coast
65%
South Korea
64%
Sweden
62%
Senegal
60%
Iran
60%
Australia
43%
Ghana
48%
Saudi Arabia
48%
DR Congo
47%
Tunisia
44%
South Africa
39%
Uzbekistan
40%
Cape Verde
31%
New Zealand
31%
Panama
30%
Qatar
25%
Jordan
21%
Haiti
13%
Iraq
11%
Curacao
13%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With the 2026 FIFA World Cup one month from kickoff on June 11, trader sentiment across group advancement markets reflects the fixed 12-group draw, where top teams like Spain, France, Brazil, and Argentina command 90%+ implied probabilities due to dominant qualifying campaigns, squad depth, and softer matchups against debutants like Cape Verde or Curaçao. A surge of season-ending injuries has shifted dynamics, sidelining Brazil's Rodrygo and Éder Militão (ACL/hamstring), Germany's Serge Gnabry (muscle tear), Netherlands' Xavi Simons (ACL), and others, opening doors for best-third bids by underdogs while hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico leverage home crowds and venue familiarity. Final friendlies, provisional squads (e.g., France omitting Camavinga), and leadership in training camps remain key wildcards before group stage resolution via points, goal difference, and head-to-head ties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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