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icon for Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?

Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?

icon for Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?

Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?

Вверх

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Вверх

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена Цены на аренду графических процессоров выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 50% для «Вверх». Цена 50% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены Цены на аренду графических процессоров. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?» — активный краткосрочный рынок на Polymarket. Объём торгов может быстро расти по мере продвижения окна дневной — входи раньше, чтобы помочь сформировать коэффициенты до закрытия этого окна.

Чтобы торговать на «Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена Цены на аренду графических процессоров в полдень ET July 31 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET July 10. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Текущая вероятность для «Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?» составляет 50% для «Вверх», что означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность того, что цена Цены на аренду графических процессоров закроется вверх в этом окне дневной, в 50%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на данные о цене Цены на аренду графических процессоров. За целый день коэффициенты отражают развивающиеся настроения по мере развёртывания ценового движения дня. Заходи чаще или торгуй сейчас, пока окно не закрылось.

Рынок «Цены на аренду графических процессоров (H100) в июле выросли или снизились?» разрешается на основе сравнения цены Цены на аренду графических процессоров в полдень ET July 31 с ценой в полдень ET July 10, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance GPU-RENTAL-PRICES-H100/USDT. Если цена в полдень July 31 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».