Groupon's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings, slated for early August, reflect a closely balanced 50% implied probability of beating estimates due to the company's recent Q1 miss—reporting EPS of -$0.32 versus consensus near -$0.02 and revenue of $117.2 million slightly below forecasts—offset by reaffirmed full-year guidance of $513–523 million in revenue and expectations for a return to profitability in the second half. Persistent cost pressures, including marketing and operating expenses that widened the net loss, contrast with improving analyst forecasts for EPS growth to $0.89 next year and modest billings expansion. Traders are weighing these mixed fundamentals against historical volatility in local commerce metrics, with the August release and any revisions to adjusted EBITDA or free cash flow targets likely to shift sentiment decisively.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
As of market creation, Groupon is estimated to release earnings on August 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Groupon's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.06 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Groupon reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.06 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Groupon releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Groupon's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings, slated for early August, reflect a closely balanced 50% implied probability of beating estimates due to the company's recent Q1 miss—reporting EPS of -$0.32 versus consensus near -$0.02 and revenue of $117.2 million slightly below forecasts—offset by reaffirmed full-year guidance of $513–523 million in revenue and expectations for a return to profitability in the second half. Persistent cost pressures, including marketing and operating expenses that widened the net loss, contrast with improving analyst forecasts for EPS growth to $0.89 next year and modest billings expansion. Traders are weighing these mixed fundamentals against historical volatility in local commerce metrics, with the August release and any revisions to adjusted EBITDA or free cash flow targets likely to shift sentiment decisively.
As of market creation, Groupon is estimated to release earnings on August 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Groupon's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.06 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Groupon reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.06 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Groupon releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Groupon releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 10:29 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 10:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Groupon is estimated to release earnings on August 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Groupon's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.06 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Groupon reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.06 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Groupon releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Groupon's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings, slated for early August, reflect a closely balanced 50% implied probability of beating estimates due to the company's recent Q1 miss—reporting EPS of -$0.32 versus consensus near -$0.02 and revenue of $117.2 million slightly below forecasts—offset by reaffirmed full-year guidance of $513–523 million in revenue and expectations for a return to profitability in the second half. Persistent cost pressures, including marketing and operating expenses that widened the net loss, contrast with improving analyst forecasts for EPS growth to $0.89 next year and modest billings expansion. Traders are weighing these mixed fundamentals against historical volatility in local commerce metrics, with the August release and any revisions to adjusted EBITDA or free cash flow targets likely to shift sentiment decisively.
As of market creation, Groupon is estimated to release earnings on August 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Groupon's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.06 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Groupon reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.06 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Groupon releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Groupon releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 10:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Groupon's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings, slated for early August, reflect a closely balanced 50% implied probability of beating estimates due to the company's recent Q1 miss—reporting EPS of -$0.32 versus consensus near -$0.02 and revenue of $117.2 million slightly below forecasts—offset by reaffirmed full-year guidance of $513–523 million in revenue and expectations for a return to profitability in the second half. Persistent cost pressures, including marketing and operating expenses that widened the net loss, contrast with improving analyst forecasts for EPS growth to $0.89 next year and modest billings expansion. Traders are weighing these mixed fundamentals against historical volatility in local commerce metrics, with the August release and any revisions to adjusted EBITDA or free cash flow targets likely to shift sentiment decisively.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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