A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 20 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 20 июля?
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 22%
92-93°F 8%
НОВОЕ
$12,137 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,137 Объем
20 июл. 2026 г.
83°F или ниже
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
7%
102°F или выше
1%
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 22%
92-93°F 8%
НОВОЕ
$12,137 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,137 Объем
20 июл. 2026 г.
83°F или ниже
$403 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$305 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$305 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$333 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$1,822 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$1,064 Объем
8%
94-95°F
$4,189 Объем
22%
96-97°F
$962 Объем
39%
98-99°F
$1,194 Объем
27%
100-101°F
$764 Объем
7%
102°F или выше
$795 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Объем
$12,137Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,137Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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