Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 21 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 21 июля?
70–71°F 52%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
1%
64-65°F
2%
66–67°F
6%
68-69°F
11%
70–71°F
38%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
1%
78–79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F или выше
<1%
70–71°F 52%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
$41 Объем
1%
64-65°F
$618 Объем
2%
66–67°F
$153 Объем
6%
68-69°F
$210 Объем
11%
70–71°F
$9 Объем
38%
72-73°F
$371 Объем
31%
74-75°F
$4 Объем
24%
76-77°F
$561 Объем
1%
78–79°F
$87 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$9 Объем
<1%
82°F или выше
$104 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$2,167Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,167Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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