Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 22 июля?
28°C 49%
27°C 28%
29°C 15%
30°C 3.9%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
15%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 28%
29°C 15%
30°C 3.9%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
15%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы