Ongoing heatwave conditions across eastern Japan, with Tokyo recording its first 35°C+ "extremely hot day" of 2026 on July 14 amid a strong subtropical high-pressure system, anchor trader expectations for late-July peaks near the seasonal norm. Recent Japan Meteorological Agency data and extended-range outlooks indicate above-average temperatures persisting into the core heat window of late July, when Tokyo highs frequently reach 33–37°C due to urban heat island effects from concrete and buildings amplifying daytime warming. The tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: small differences in high-pressure strength, wind patterns, cloud cover, or isolated showers could shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while model consensus from agencies like JMA and NOAA supports no immediate cooling trend before July 22. Historical climatology shows Tokyo’s July average high has risen roughly 1.5°C over decades, placing these outcomes firmly within the current distribution rather than extremes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 22 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 22 июля?
35°C 42%
36°C 22%
34°C 18%
37°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$21,631 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,631 Объем
22 июл. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
18%
35°C
42%
36°C
22%
37°C
13%
38°C
1%
39°C или выше
1%
35°C 42%
36°C 22%
34°C 18%
37°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$21,631 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,631 Объем
22 июл. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
$808 Объем
<1%
30°C
$215 Объем
<1%
31°C
$700 Объем
1%
32°C
$1,097 Объем
1%
33°C
$1,707 Объем
6%
34°C
$1,533 Объем
18%
35°C
$7,036 Объем
42%
36°C
$1,279 Объем
22%
37°C
$2,303 Объем
13%
38°C
$3,552 Объем
1%
39°C или выше
$1,412 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across eastern Japan, with Tokyo recording its first 35°C+ "extremely hot day" of 2026 on July 14 amid a strong subtropical high-pressure system, anchor trader expectations for late-July peaks near the seasonal norm. Recent Japan Meteorological Agency data and extended-range outlooks indicate above-average temperatures persisting into the core heat window of late July, when Tokyo highs frequently reach 33–37°C due to urban heat island effects from concrete and buildings amplifying daytime warming. The tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: small differences in high-pressure strength, wind patterns, cloud cover, or isolated showers could shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while model consensus from agencies like JMA and NOAA supports no immediate cooling trend before July 22. Historical climatology shows Tokyo’s July average high has risen roughly 1.5°C over decades, placing these outcomes firmly within the current distribution rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$21,631Дата окончания
22 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across eastern Japan, with Tokyo recording its first 35°C+ "extremely hot day" of 2026 on July 14 amid a strong subtropical high-pressure system, anchor trader expectations for late-July peaks near the seasonal norm. Recent Japan Meteorological Agency data and extended-range outlooks indicate above-average temperatures persisting into the core heat window of late July, when Tokyo highs frequently reach 33–37°C due to urban heat island effects from concrete and buildings amplifying daytime warming. The tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: small differences in high-pressure strength, wind patterns, cloud cover, or isolated showers could shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while model consensus from agencies like JMA and NOAA supports no immediate cooling trend before July 22. Historical climatology shows Tokyo’s July average high has risen roughly 1.5°C over decades, placing these outcomes firmly within the current distribution rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$21,631Дата окончания
22 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across eastern Japan, with Tokyo recording its first 35°C+ "extremely hot day" of 2026 on July 14 amid a strong subtropical high-pressure system, anchor trader expectations for late-July peaks near the seasonal norm. Recent Japan Meteorological Agency data and extended-range outlooks indicate above-average temperatures persisting into the core heat window of late July, when Tokyo highs frequently reach 33–37°C due to urban heat island effects from concrete and buildings amplifying daytime warming. The tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: small differences in high-pressure strength, wind patterns, cloud cover, or isolated showers could shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while model consensus from agencies like JMA and NOAA supports no immediate cooling trend before July 22. Historical climatology shows Tokyo’s July average high has risen roughly 1.5°C over decades, placing these outcomes firmly within the current distribution rather than extremes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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