Current meteorological forecasts from INMET and ensemble models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s July 21 high, with traders assigning it 48% implied probability amid stable winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs indicate a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near the climatological upper range of 27–29°C rather than cooler anomalies typical of July. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary possibilities at 29.5% and 12%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to minimal expected variability in steering patterns or moisture advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine final resolution against official surface observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 21 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 21 июля?
27°C 44%
28°C 38%
26°C 15%
29°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
44%
28°C
38%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 38%
26°C 15%
29°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$1,503 Объем
<1%
23°C
$466 Объем
<1%
24°C
$327 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,627 Объем
2%
26°C
$1,373 Объем
15%
27°C
$1,282 Объем
44%
28°C
$1,154 Объем
38%
29°C
$684 Объем
6%
30°C
$423 Объем
1%
31°C
$350 Объем
1%
32°C or higher
$310 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from INMET and ensemble models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s July 21 high, with traders assigning it 48% implied probability amid stable winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs indicate a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near the climatological upper range of 27–29°C rather than cooler anomalies typical of July. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary possibilities at 29.5% and 12%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to minimal expected variability in steering patterns or moisture advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine final resolution against official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Объем
$9,498Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from INMET and ensemble models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s July 21 high, with traders assigning it 48% implied probability amid stable winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs indicate a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near the climatological upper range of 27–29°C rather than cooler anomalies typical of July. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary possibilities at 29.5% and 12%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to minimal expected variability in steering patterns or moisture advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine final resolution against official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,498Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from INMET and ensemble models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s July 21 high, with traders assigning it 48% implied probability amid stable winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs indicate a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near the climatological upper range of 27–29°C rather than cooler anomalies typical of July. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary possibilities at 29.5% and 12%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to minimal expected variability in steering patterns or moisture advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine final resolution against official surface observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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