Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 21 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 21 июля?
100–101°F 44%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 9%
НОВОЕ
$14,544 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,544 Объем
21 июл. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
30%
100–101°F
44%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F или выше
<1%
100–101°F 44%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 9%
НОВОЕ
$14,544 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,544 Объем
21 июл. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$759 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$1,480 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$446 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$1,326 Объем
2%
96-97°F
$2,377 Объем
9%
98-99°F
$1,227 Объем
30%
100–101°F
$1,922 Объем
44%
102-103°F
$820 Объем
19%
104-105°F
$3,477 Объем
2%
106-107°F
$377 Объем
1%
108°F или выше
$334 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
Объем
$14,544Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,544Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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