Short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak temperature in Istanbul on August 3 most likely falling in the narrow 27–29°C band under stable Mediterranean summer anticyclonic conditions with ample insolation and light northerly flow. This positioning drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, potential thin high-cloud modulation of daytime heating, and the moderating influence of adjacent sea surfaces on maximum temperatures. Historical climatology for early August shows average highs near 28–29°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts, while upcoming updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine resolution probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 3 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 3 августа?
28°C 35%
29°C 31%
27°C 29%
26°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
29%
28°C
35%
29°C
31%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
2%
28°C 35%
29°C 31%
27°C 29%
26°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$27 Объем
<1%
24°C
$13 Объем
1%
25°C
$10 Объем
2%
26°C
$3 Объем
5%
27°C
$16 Объем
29%
28°C
$55 Объем
35%
29°C
$40 Объем
31%
30°C
$1 Объем
4%
31°C
$5 Объем
2%
32°C
$13 Объем
2%
33°C или выше
$10 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak temperature in Istanbul on August 3 most likely falling in the narrow 27–29°C band under stable Mediterranean summer anticyclonic conditions with ample insolation and light northerly flow. This positioning drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, potential thin high-cloud modulation of daytime heating, and the moderating influence of adjacent sea surfaces on maximum temperatures. Historical climatology for early August shows average highs near 28–29°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts, while upcoming updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$192Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak temperature in Istanbul on August 3 most likely falling in the narrow 27–29°C band under stable Mediterranean summer anticyclonic conditions with ample insolation and light northerly flow. This positioning drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, potential thin high-cloud modulation of daytime heating, and the moderating influence of adjacent sea surfaces on maximum temperatures. Historical climatology for early August shows average highs near 28–29°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts, while upcoming updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$192Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak temperature in Istanbul on August 3 most likely falling in the narrow 27–29°C band under stable Mediterranean summer anticyclonic conditions with ample insolation and light northerly flow. This positioning drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, potential thin high-cloud modulation of daytime heating, and the moderating influence of adjacent sea surfaces on maximum temperatures. Historical climatology for early August shows average highs near 28–29°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts, while upcoming updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine resolution probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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