Active southwest monsoon conditions over the Philippines are the primary driver behind trader sentiment favoring a 28–30°C maximum in Manila on August 3, as widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms reduce solar insolation and limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks show a 26–33°C range with 60% rain probability, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns that historically moderate August highs below the 31–32°C climatological average. Recent model consensus emphasizes persistent moisture and localized convective activity, which can shave several degrees off peak temperatures depending on timing and intensity. With only 48 hours until resolution, updated short-range forecasts and any strengthening of the monsoon trough will be the key variables traders monitor for shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 3 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 3 августа?
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 23%
31°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
6%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
23%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C или выше
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 23%
31°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$286 Объем
<1%
25°C
$695 Объем
<1%
26°C
$399 Объем
8%
27°C
$112 Объем
6%
28°C
$137 Объем
26%
29°C
$0 Объем
32%
30°C
$13 Объем
23%
31°C
$40 Объем
10%
32°C
$91 Объем
2%
33°C
$90 Объем
1%
34°C или выше
$21 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions over the Philippines are the primary driver behind trader sentiment favoring a 28–30°C maximum in Manila on August 3, as widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms reduce solar insolation and limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks show a 26–33°C range with 60% rain probability, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns that historically moderate August highs below the 31–32°C climatological average. Recent model consensus emphasizes persistent moisture and localized convective activity, which can shave several degrees off peak temperatures depending on timing and intensity. With only 48 hours until resolution, updated short-range forecasts and any strengthening of the monsoon trough will be the key variables traders monitor for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$1,883Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions over the Philippines are the primary driver behind trader sentiment favoring a 28–30°C maximum in Manila on August 3, as widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms reduce solar insolation and limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks show a 26–33°C range with 60% rain probability, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns that historically moderate August highs below the 31–32°C climatological average. Recent model consensus emphasizes persistent moisture and localized convective activity, which can shave several degrees off peak temperatures depending on timing and intensity. With only 48 hours until resolution, updated short-range forecasts and any strengthening of the monsoon trough will be the key variables traders monitor for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,883Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions over the Philippines are the primary driver behind trader sentiment favoring a 28–30°C maximum in Manila on August 3, as widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms reduce solar insolation and limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks show a 26–33°C range with 60% rain probability, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns that historically moderate August highs below the 31–32°C climatological average. Recent model consensus emphasizes persistent moisture and localized convective activity, which can shave several degrees off peak temperatures depending on timing and intensity. With only 48 hours until resolution, updated short-range forecasts and any strengthening of the monsoon trough will be the key variables traders monitor for shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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