Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 29°C in Shenzhen on August 3, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but recent subseasonal outlooks suggest slightly cooler-than-normal conditions across southern China due to enhanced moisture. Traders monitor daily CMA updates and regional model consensus for revisions ahead of the August 3 observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 3 августа?
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 11%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
24%
29°C
32%
30°C
22%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C или выше
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 11%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
24%
29°C
32%
30°C
22%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 29°C in Shenzhen on August 3, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but recent subseasonal outlooks suggest slightly cooler-than-normal conditions across southern China due to enhanced moisture. Traders monitor daily CMA updates and regional model consensus for revisions ahead of the August 3 observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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