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Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 17 июля?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 17 июля?

Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 17 июля?

78-79°F 40%

76-77°F 29%

80-81°F 25%

74-75°F 7%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

78-79°F 40%

76-77°F 29%

80-81°F 25%

74-75°F 7%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

73°F или ниже

$62 Объем

3%

74-75°F

$27 Объем

7%

76-77°F

$75 Объем

29%

78-79°F

$144 Объем

40%

80-81°F

$42 Объем

25%

82-83°F

$46 Объем

6%

84-85°F

$27 Объем

1%

86-87°F

$170 Объем

<1%

88-89°F

$245 Объем

1%

90-91°F

$293 Объем

<1%

92°F или выше

$27 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooling after the mid-July heat wave's peak is the main driver behind trader sentiment clustering around 78–81°F for Los Angeles' July 17 high. Weakening high pressure has allowed stronger onshore flow and a deeper marine layer to advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, while the afternoon sea breeze further caps temperatures in the basin. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs (GFS/ECMWF) show downtown or airport readings settling in the upper 70s to low 80s rather than the mid-90s seen mid-week, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact marine intrusion timing. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, but the post-heatwave pattern favors the current tight distribution across the three leading bins. Updated afternoon forecasts and any late-model shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,157
Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooling after the mid-July heat wave's peak is the main driver behind trader sentiment clustering around 78–81°F for Los Angeles' July 17 high. Weakening high pressure has allowed stronger onshore flow and a deeper marine layer to advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, while the afternoon sea breeze further caps temperatures in the basin. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs (GFS/ECMWF) show downtown or airport readings settling in the upper 70s to low 80s rather than the mid-90s seen mid-week, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact marine intrusion timing. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, but the post-heatwave pattern favors the current tight distribution across the three leading bins. Updated afternoon forecasts and any late-model shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,157
Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 17 июля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «78-79°F» с 40%, за ним следует «76-77°F» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 40¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 17 июля?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 15, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 17 июля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 17 июля?» — «78-79°F» с 40%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Следующий ближайший исход — «76-77°F» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 17 июля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.