Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 16 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 16 июля?
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
29°C 15%
32°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
24%
31°C
41%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
29°C 15%
32°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$1,907 Объем
<1%
26°C
$331 Объем
<1%
27°C
$191 Объем
1%
28°C
$286 Объем
2%
29°C
$220 Объем
15%
30°C
$803 Объем
24%
31°C
$372 Объем
41%
32°C
$583 Объем
14%
33°C
$295 Объем
5%
34°C
$500 Объем
1%
35°C или выше
$697 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$6,186Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,186Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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