Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 16 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 16 июля?
35°C или выше 35%
34°C 33%
33°C 19%
32°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
19%
34°C
33%
35°C или выше
35%
35°C или выше 35%
34°C 33%
33°C 19%
32°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$196 Объем
<1%
26°C
$201 Объем
<1%
27°C
$842 Объем
<1%
28°C
$500 Объем
<1%
29°C
$579 Объем
<1%
30°C
$441 Объем
<1%
31°C
$543 Объем
2%
32°C
$488 Объем
9%
33°C
$1,317 Объем
19%
34°C
$699 Объем
33%
35°C или выше
$2,118 Объем
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$7,925Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,925Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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