Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 16 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 16 июля?
27°C 51%
28°C 42%
29°C 6%
26°C 3.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
51%
28°C
42%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 42%
29°C 6%
26°C 3.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$540 Объем
<1%
23°C
$514 Объем
<1%
24°C
$234 Объем
<1%
25°C
$295 Объем
2%
26°C
$265 Объем
3%
27°C
$2,907 Объем
51%
28°C
$1,803 Объем
42%
29°C
$263 Объем
6%
30°C
$245 Объем
2%
31°C
$216 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$272 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$7,554Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,554Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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