Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble runs place Paris maximum temperatures on July 14 in the 34–37 °C range under a persistent warm-air advection pattern and surface high pressure favoring clear skies and subsidence warming. Model spread between ECMWF and GFS solutions, combined with uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development, keeps the 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes nearly equal in trader weighting. Urban heat-island amplification in central Paris and the precise timing of the daily peak relative to observational windows further differentiate these closely spaced bins, while the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and surface observations will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 14 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 14 июля?
35°C 51%
34°C 40%
36°C 9%
33°C 3.3%
НОВОЕ
$23,753 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,753 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
40%
35°C
51%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 51%
34°C 40%
36°C 9%
33°C 3.3%
НОВОЕ
$23,753 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,753 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
31°C or below
$2,998 Объем
<1%
32°C
$1,081 Объем
1%
33°C
$3,021 Объем
3%
34°C
$4,425 Объем
40%
35°C
$2,986 Объем
51%
36°C
$2,956 Объем
9%
37°C
$3,458 Объем
1%
38°C
$1,626 Объем
<1%
39°C
$600 Объем
<1%
40°C
$321 Объем
<1%
41°C or higher
$282 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble runs place Paris maximum temperatures on July 14 in the 34–37 °C range under a persistent warm-air advection pattern and surface high pressure favoring clear skies and subsidence warming. Model spread between ECMWF and GFS solutions, combined with uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development, keeps the 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes nearly equal in trader weighting. Urban heat-island amplification in central Paris and the precise timing of the daily peak relative to observational windows further differentiate these closely spaced bins, while the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and surface observations will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$23,753Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble runs place Paris maximum temperatures on July 14 in the 34–37 °C range under a persistent warm-air advection pattern and surface high pressure favoring clear skies and subsidence warming. Model spread between ECMWF and GFS solutions, combined with uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development, keeps the 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes nearly equal in trader weighting. Urban heat-island amplification in central Paris and the precise timing of the daily peak relative to observational windows further differentiate these closely spaced bins, while the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and surface observations will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$23,753Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble runs place Paris maximum temperatures on July 14 in the 34–37 °C range under a persistent warm-air advection pattern and surface high pressure favoring clear skies and subsidence warming. Model spread between ECMWF and GFS solutions, combined with uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development, keeps the 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes nearly equal in trader weighting. Urban heat-island amplification in central Paris and the precise timing of the daily peak relative to observational windows further differentiate these closely spaced bins, while the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and surface observations will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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