Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate typical August monsoon conditions over Manila, with peak daytime heating modulated by variable cloud cover and scattered convection. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C, reflecting model spread in maximum temperature outputs rather than a single dominant signal. Urban heat-island effects and the position of the monsoon trough introduce additional local variability, while historical August maxima for the city center average near 31°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as PAGASA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 24 августа?
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
33°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
32%
31°C
34%
32°C
17%
33°C
17%
34°C или выше
6%
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
33°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
25°C
$0 Объем
<1%
26°C
$50 Объем
1%
27°C
$5 Объем
1%
28°C
$5 Объем
6%
29°C
$13 Объем
11%
30°C
$19 Объем
32%
31°C
$13 Объем
34%
32°C
$24 Объем
17%
33°C
$0 Объем
17%
34°C или выше
$21 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate typical August monsoon conditions over Manila, with peak daytime heating modulated by variable cloud cover and scattered convection. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C, reflecting model spread in maximum temperature outputs rather than a single dominant signal. Urban heat-island effects and the position of the monsoon trough introduce additional local variability, while historical August maxima for the city center average near 31°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as PAGASA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$151Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate typical August monsoon conditions over Manila, with peak daytime heating modulated by variable cloud cover and scattered convection. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C, reflecting model spread in maximum temperature outputs rather than a single dominant signal. Urban heat-island effects and the position of the monsoon trough introduce additional local variability, while historical August maxima for the city center average near 31°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as PAGASA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$151Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate typical August monsoon conditions over Manila, with peak daytime heating modulated by variable cloud cover and scattered convection. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C, reflecting model spread in maximum temperature outputs rather than a single dominant signal. Urban heat-island effects and the position of the monsoon trough introduce additional local variability, while historical August maxima for the city center average near 31°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as PAGASA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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