Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 14 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 14 июля?
25°C 42%
26°C 35%
24°C 19%
27°C 4.5%
НОВОЕ
$12,373 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,373 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
42%
26°C
35%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
1%
25°C 42%
26°C 35%
24°C 19%
27°C 4.5%
НОВОЕ
$12,373 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,373 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$295 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,516 Объем
<1%
20°C
$1,511 Объем
<1%
21°C
$645 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,082 Объем
1%
23°C
$1,637 Объем
3%
24°C
$568 Объем
19%
25°C
$1,751 Объем
42%
26°C
$1,657 Объем
35%
27°C
$1,582 Объем
5%
28°C или выше
$128 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$12,373Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,373Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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