Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 15 августа?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$45,514 Объем
$45,514 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$45,514 Объем
$45,514 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$215 Объем
No
31°C
$332 Объем
No
32°C
$1,729 Объем
No
33°C
$12,472 Объем
No
34°C
$11,068 Объем
Yes
35°C
$8,754 Объем
No
36°C
$6,161 Объем
No
37°C
$2,663 Объем
No
38°C
$1,399 Объем
No
39°C
$578 Объем
No
40°C or higher
$143 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$45,514Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$45,514Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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