**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on an afternoon maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions.** Light northwest winds, modest moisture, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing sharp extremes. This aligns with the climatological decline in August highs, which typically fall from ~23°C early in the month to 20–21°C by the final week. Current observations show Moscow running near or slightly below seasonal norms, with no strong warm advection or blocking high indicated in the latest runs. The market’s concentration on 19–20°C (66.5% combined) reflects this tight model consensus and historical precedent for modest variability around the mean. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a clearer or windier pattern emerges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 24 августа?
20°C 39%
19°C 28%
18°C 24%
21°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
4%
16°C
13%
17°C
10%
18°C
24%
19°C
28%
20°C
39%
21°C
15%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C или выше
3%
20°C 39%
19°C 28%
18°C 24%
21°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$10 Объем
4%
16°C
$10 Объем
13%
17°C
$0 Объем
10%
18°C
$26 Объем
24%
19°C
$0 Объем
28%
20°C
$51 Объем
39%
21°C
$0 Объем
15%
22°C
$20 Объем
11%
23°C
$10 Объем
7%
24°C
$5 Объем
2%
25°C или выше
$5 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on an afternoon maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions.** Light northwest winds, modest moisture, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing sharp extremes.
This aligns with the climatological decline in August highs, which typically fall from ~23°C early in the month to 20–21°C by the final week. Current observations show Moscow running near or slightly below seasonal norms, with no strong warm advection or blocking high indicated in the latest runs. The market’s concentration on 19–20°C (66.5% combined) reflects this tight model consensus and historical precedent for modest variability around the mean. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a clearer or windier pattern emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Объем
$137Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on an afternoon maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions.** Light northwest winds, modest moisture, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing sharp extremes.
This aligns with the climatological decline in August highs, which typically fall from ~23°C early in the month to 20–21°C by the final week. Current observations show Moscow running near or slightly below seasonal norms, with no strong warm advection or blocking high indicated in the latest runs. The market’s concentration on 19–20°C (66.5% combined) reflects this tight model consensus and historical precedent for modest variability around the mean. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a clearer or windier pattern emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$137Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on an afternoon maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions.** Light northwest winds, modest moisture, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing sharp extremes. This aligns with the climatological decline in August highs, which typically fall from ~23°C early in the month to 20–21°C by the final week. Current observations show Moscow running near or slightly below seasonal norms, with no strong warm advection or blocking high indicated in the latest runs. The market’s concentration on 19–20°C (66.5% combined) reflects this tight model consensus and historical precedent for modest variability around the mean. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a clearer or windier pattern emerges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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