Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 32–34°C on August 14 with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C (41%) and 34°C (31%), as historical August climatology in Bavaria rarely exceeds 35°C without stronger advection. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour window, reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range while noting that small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge outcomes toward 32°C or 35°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок.Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 14 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 14 августа?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,096 Объем
$88,096 Объем
14 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,096 Объем
$88,096 Объем
14 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$3,033 Объем
No
29°C
$2,039 Объем
No
30°C
$7,525 Объем
No
31°C
$16,278 Объем
No
32°C
$20,357 Объем
No
33°C
$15,733 Объем
Yes
34°C
$15,255 Объем
No
35°C
$6,079 Объем
No
36°C
$596 Объем
No
37°C
$952 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$249 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 32–34°C on August 14 with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C (41%) and 34°C (31%), as historical August climatology in Bavaria rarely exceeds 35°C without stronger advection. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour window, reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range while noting that small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge outcomes toward 32°C or 35°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$88,096Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 32–34°C on August 14 with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C (41%) and 34°C (31%), as historical August climatology in Bavaria rarely exceeds 35°C without stronger advection. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour window, reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range while noting that small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge outcomes toward 32°C or 35°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$88,096Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 32–34°C on August 14 with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C (41%) and 34°C (31%), as historical August climatology in Bavaria rarely exceeds 35°C without stronger advection. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour window, reinforcing trader consensus around this narrow range while noting that small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge outcomes toward 32°C or 35°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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