Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 17 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 17 июля?
37°C 34%
38°C 33%
39°C 17.8%
36°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 июл. 2026 г.
32°C или ниже
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
13%
37°C
34%
38°C
33%
39°C
18%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C или выше
<1%
37°C 34%
38°C 33%
39°C 17.8%
36°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 июл. 2026 г.
32°C или ниже
$197 Объем
<1%
33°C
$216 Объем
<1%
34°C
$242 Объем
2%
35°C
$231 Объем
4%
36°C
$258 Объем
13%
37°C
$1,410 Объем
34%
38°C
$539 Объем
33%
39°C
$362 Объем
18%
40°C
$243 Объем
6%
41°C
$339 Объем
1%
42°C или выше
$291 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$4,329Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,329Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы