Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns closely with the city’s long-term August average high near 32°C, supported by model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, high humidity above 75 percent, and a chance of thunderstorms that limit extreme solar heating. The overwhelming market-implied probability at 32°C reflects this strong scientific baseline rather than any unusual event. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to clear, stable conditions allowing greater insolation or a rapid model revision indicating stronger warming, though such deviations remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 15 августа?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$77,373 Объем
$77,373 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$77,373 Объем
$77,373 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$836 Объем
No
28°C
$7,543 Объем
No
29°C
$8,548 Объем
No
30°C
$6,546 Объем
No
31°C
$7,793 Объем
No
32°C
$8,098 Объем
Yes
33°C
$10,402 Объем
No
34°C
$6,750 Объем
No
35°C
$6,681 Объем
No
36°C
$11,155 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$3,022 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns closely with the city’s long-term August average high near 32°C, supported by model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, high humidity above 75 percent, and a chance of thunderstorms that limit extreme solar heating. The overwhelming market-implied probability at 32°C reflects this strong scientific baseline rather than any unusual event. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to clear, stable conditions allowing greater insolation or a rapid model revision indicating stronger warming, though such deviations remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$77,373Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns closely with the city’s long-term August average high near 32°C, supported by model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, high humidity above 75 percent, and a chance of thunderstorms that limit extreme solar heating. The overwhelming market-implied probability at 32°C reflects this strong scientific baseline rather than any unusual event. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to clear, stable conditions allowing greater insolation or a rapid model revision indicating stronger warming, though such deviations remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$77,373Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns closely with the city’s long-term August average high near 32°C, supported by model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, high humidity above 75 percent, and a chance of thunderstorms that limit extreme solar heating. The overwhelming market-implied probability at 32°C reflects this strong scientific baseline rather than any unusual event. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to clear, stable conditions allowing greater insolation or a rapid model revision indicating stronger warming, though such deviations remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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