Recent short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation. This narrow consensus, slightly above the long-term August average near 30–31°C, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C as the leading outcome, with modest probability on adjacent thresholds reflecting small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no anomalous heat advection or subsidence to favor extremes, while updated model runs ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 20 августа?
33°C 62%
32°C 34%
34°C 16%
35°C 8%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
34%
33°C
62%
34°C
16%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 62%
32°C 34%
34°C 16%
35°C 8%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
34%
33°C
62%
34°C
16%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation. This narrow consensus, slightly above the long-term August average near 30–31°C, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C as the leading outcome, with modest probability on adjacent thresholds reflecting small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no anomalous heat advection or subsidence to favor extremes, while updated model runs ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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