Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable subtropical high pressure, sunny skies, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes typical of mid-August. Model guidance, including from the UK Met Office and AccuWeather, aligns closely with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C for the coastal plain, with light southerly or southwesterly winds limiting extreme heating. Narrow model spreads and absence of anomalous warm-air advection or heatwave conditions support trader emphasis on the 32°C and 31°C bins, while minor upward revisions in some runs keep 33°C in play at lower implied odds. Official station readings will resolve the market based on the highest hourly or daily maximum observed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 18 августа?
32°C 52%
31°C 31%
33°C 16%
34°C 10%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
31%
32°C
52%
33°C
16%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 31%
33°C 16%
34°C 10%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
31%
32°C
52%
33°C
16%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable subtropical high pressure, sunny skies, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes typical of mid-August. Model guidance, including from the UK Met Office and AccuWeather, aligns closely with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C for the coastal plain, with light southerly or southwesterly winds limiting extreme heating. Narrow model spreads and absence of anomalous warm-air advection or heatwave conditions support trader emphasis on the 32°C and 31°C bins, while minor upward revisions in some runs keep 33°C in play at lower implied odds. Official station readings will resolve the market based on the highest hourly or daily maximum observed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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