The near-even market split between 32°C (48%) and 31°C (41.5%) reflects ensemble forecast spreads placing Tel Aviv’s August 17 maximum right at the threshold under persistent subtropical high pressure and clear skies. Numerical models from global and regional systems show highs of 31–32°C, consistent with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages, while minor uncertainties arise from sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects. Official Israel Meteorological Service guidance and latest model runs maintain this narrow range ahead of the day’s maximum observation, with limited probability mass beyond 30–33°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 17 августа?
32°C 50%
31°C 42%
30°C 6%
33°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
42%
32°C
50%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 50%
31°C 42%
30°C 6%
33°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
42%
32°C
50%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-even market split between 32°C (48%) and 31°C (41.5%) reflects ensemble forecast spreads placing Tel Aviv’s August 17 maximum right at the threshold under persistent subtropical high pressure and clear skies. Numerical models from global and regional systems show highs of 31–32°C, consistent with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages, while minor uncertainties arise from sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects. Official Israel Meteorological Service guidance and latest model runs maintain this narrow range ahead of the day’s maximum observation, with limited probability mass beyond 30–33°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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