Current ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds that moderate daytime heating. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach about 20–22°C, though a transient ridge of high pressure has supported slightly elevated readings in recent days. Model consensus narrows the likely range to 23–25°C, with limited risk of extremes given stable steering flow and modest moisture. Trader-implied probabilities therefore concentrate on 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow ensemble spread and typical resolution thresholds at official Moscow stations. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 17 августа?
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
25°C 13%
22°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
30%
24°C
46%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
25°C 13%
22°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$131 Объем
<1%
20°C
$184 Объем
2%
21°C
$159 Объем
3%
22°C
$269 Объем
8%
23°C
$568 Объем
30%
24°C
$353 Объем
46%
25°C
$1,119 Объем
13%
26°C
$254 Объем
4%
27°C
$203 Объем
2%
28°C
$225 Объем
1%
29°C or higher
$186 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds that moderate daytime heating. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach about 20–22°C, though a transient ridge of high pressure has supported slightly elevated readings in recent days. Model consensus narrows the likely range to 23–25°C, with limited risk of extremes given stable steering flow and modest moisture. Trader-implied probabilities therefore concentrate on 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow ensemble spread and typical resolution thresholds at official Moscow stations. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Объем
$3,650Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds that moderate daytime heating. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach about 20–22°C, though a transient ridge of high pressure has supported slightly elevated readings in recent days. Model consensus narrows the likely range to 23–25°C, with limited risk of extremes given stable steering flow and modest moisture. Trader-implied probabilities therefore concentrate on 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow ensemble spread and typical resolution thresholds at official Moscow stations. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,650Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds that moderate daytime heating. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach about 20–22°C, though a transient ridge of high pressure has supported slightly elevated readings in recent days. Model consensus narrows the likely range to 23–25°C, with limited risk of extremes given stable steering flow and modest moisture. Trader-implied probabilities therefore concentrate on 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow ensemble spread and typical resolution thresholds at official Moscow stations. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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