Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 14 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 14 июля?
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
НОВОЕ
$14,240 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,240 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
38%
32°C
55%
33°C
9%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
НОВОЕ
$14,240 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,240 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$412 Объем
<1%
29°C
$477 Объем
<1%
30°C
$1,927 Объем
1%
31°C
$2,797 Объем
38%
32°C
$3,930 Объем
55%
33°C
$1,746 Объем
9%
34°C
$1,479 Объем
<1%
35°C
$721 Объем
<1%
36°C
$162 Объем
<1%
37°C
$203 Объем
<1%
38°C or higher
$386 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$14,240Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,240Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы